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"Every difference of opinion is not a difference of principle. We have called by different names brethren of the same principle." Thomas Jefferson


"I am a Republican, a black, dyed in the wool Republican, and I never intend to belong to any other party than the party of freedom and progress." Frederick Douglass

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Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Obama-can

I never thought I'd see the day when a black man became President of the United States. It was something that many blacks considered an impossible dream. That possibility took one more step towards becoming a reality today with Barack Obama's massive win in the Potomac Primary this evening.

The huge support for Obama in D.C., Maryland and Virginia were tantamount to a repudiation of Hillary Clinton. Even more impressive for Sen. Obama was his consolidation of support in his key demographic but also the show of new support from voters that typically skew towards Hillary. Obama scored big wins with blacks, younger voters and higher income voters as usual. But he also showed strong results with women, lower income voters, elderly voters and more white middle class voters. He took a huge bite out of Hillary's base tonight. She didn't even campaign in the Potomac. She left that to Bill who was last seen trying to be "brother" eating sweet potato pie at a black church.

Sen. Clinton is beginning to look increasingly desperate. The wheels are falling off her campaign as Obama has now won seven straight primaries over Clinton. She fired her campaign manager and today her deputy campaign manager resigned. Morale must be very low in the Clinton campaign at this point. Expect Hillary to start crying for the cameras again in Texas to shore up her base. There is even increasing evidence that Barack is beginning to attract more and more of the Latino vote. If that happens, I think Hillary can forget it. In fact, you heard it here first from the Brother on the Right...if Barack wins Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania he will win the Democratic nomination and he will defeat John McCain in November. Sen. McCain simply can not stand up to the energy, magnetism, grass-roots support and passion of the Obama campaign. Obama represents "change" and a fresh set of eyes in the White House. McCain represents the familiarity of the same-old, same-old establishment. It would be a landslide for Obama. Millions of Americans would want to witness the history that generations before us never thought would happen. Obama can win.

Elections are largely about momentum and emotion. Barack's momentum is building into a gigantic tidal wave and I still don't think he has peaked yet. He has now even begun to attract conservative voters who don't like the idea of voting for McCain. I believe he is attracting some conservative voters not out of disdain for McCain but because these voters actually like Barack's message. These republican voters who support Obama are becoming known as "Obamacans".

As Hillary's campaign spirals downward, it will require a charismatic and effective leader to correct the downward spin and Hillary is not that person. It requires a "real person" with heart, integrity and desire to re-ignite the passion of the troops when things are going badly. I simply can not imagine her generating enough personal magnetism and charisma to rally her troops and get them fired up again. People want to vote for a winner and her base is beginning to jump ship for Obama. This behavior will soon stop being a trend and will become a pattern. Watch for Texas, Ohio and Pa. The road to the White House goes directly through those 3 states. Obama takes those states and Hillary folds. She will have to. She'll look around behind her and see two people holding "Hillary" signs. One of them will be Chelsea. The other will be an illegal immigrant holding an application for a New York State drivers license.

What about the Superdelegates? Couldn't Hillary still win with their support? Sure, if all of them go for her she could still possibly pull it off. However, her dilemma is if she does that, she will alienate millions of voters who are not happy that she pulled some trick out of her hat to win. She will reinforce the notion that she is dishonest and will do anything to get ahead. And then, get ready for President-Elect McCain. She will be through. For good. No one will trust her again.

Tough place to be in if you're Hillary. She'd have a hard time getting re-elected as a NY Senator and millions of illegals would have to go without drivers licenses.

How did it come to all this for the Clinton campaign? Hubris. Plain and simple. They assumed this was their election for the taking and they completely underestimated the guy from Illinois with the funny name. They assumed that their ability to dupe and fool the voters would work like a charm like it has so many times before. They never imagined that a black man could ever be elected President of the United States.

That's OK Bill-ary. Neither did many of us. Thank God we were wrong. Get ready for President-Elect Obama.







"Love your neighbor as yourself and your country more than yourself."

Thomas Jefferson

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